Simulated trial and error experiments on productivity

نویسندگان

چکیده

Trial and error experiments in socioeconomics were proved to be beneficial by Nobel prize laureates. However, replication is challenging costly term of time money. The approach required interventions on human society, moral issues have carefully considered research designs. This work tried make the more feasible developing virtual economic environment allow simulated trial take place. demonstrated framework using 19 macroeconomic indicators 6 interested categories study effect productivity if each indicator value grew 5 percent for 65 countries. Seven predictive models including some machine learning (ML) compared. Neural network dominated accurateness was selected as core simulator. Experimented results are full surprises, acted expected a data-driven guide toward country-specific policy making.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2089-4872', '2252-8938']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.11591/ijai.v11.i4.pp1570-1578